Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

250.94 – 211.17

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

258 – 267

Prediction missed · off by 31.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 471 ±9.4

4926GalacTech

Season APEX 112.5Event APEX 134.31Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 86.99Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9431Snider Panthers- "The Gold Standard"

Season APEX 84.2Event APEX 29.64Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 316.1 ±10.4

3176Purple Precision

Season APEX 133.1Event APEX 71.76Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6721Tindley Trailblazers

Season APEX 122.3Event APEX 109.09Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9491Crypto Creek

Season APEX 60.7Event APEX 30.32Rank 23Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4926, 7457, 9431

/ 100 compat

Projected

250.9 pts

~1.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 4926, 7457, 9431

Auto

43.7 17%

Teleop

118.5 47%

Endgame

91.2 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3176, 6721, 9491

/ 100 compat

Projected

211.2 pts

~1.4 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 3176, 6721, 9491

Auto

57.4 28%

Teleop

90.2 44%

Endgame

58.3 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.93 · Blue 1.4

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score250.9pts

Blue projected score211.2pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 16%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 39.8
Score range: 163–299
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 525 vs event baseline 267.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

471Season APEX316.1

43.7Auto57.4

118.5Teleop90.2

91.2Endgame58.3

151Consistency128

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	98	24
teleop	128	146
endgame	32	87
foul	0	10
total	258	267

Result

Final score

258 – 267

Prediction missed · off by 31.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.