Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

88.82 – 299.37

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

206 – 466

Prediction correct · off by 141.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 261.7 ±10.4

9431Snider Panthers- "The Gold Standard"

Season APEX 84.2Event APEX 14.89Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9491Crypto Creek

Season APEX 60.7Event APEX -16.69Rank 23Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

829The Digital Goats

Season APEX 116.8Event APEX 90.62Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 454.2 ±9.8

5402Wreckless Robotics

Season APEX 120.5Event APEX 42.56Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1720PhyXTGears

Season APEX 211.4Event APEX 183.71Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6721Tindley Trailblazers

Season APEX 122.3Event APEX 73.1Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9431, 9491, 829

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 9431, 9491, 829

Auto

21.7 24%

Teleop

53.3 58%

Endgame

16.2 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5402, 1720, 6721

/ 100 compat

Projected

299.4 pts

~2.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 5402, 1720, 6721

Auto

54.0 18%

Teleop

185.5 62%

Endgame

57.4 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.79 · Blue 2.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score88.8pts

Blue projected score299.4pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 24%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -210.5
Score range: 40–348
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 672 vs event baseline 271.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

261.7Season APEX454.2

21.7Auto54

53.3Teleop185.5

16.2Endgame57.4

111Consistency121

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	91
teleop	106	262
endgame	55	113
foul	0	0
total	206	466

Result

Final score

206 – 466

Prediction correct · off by 141.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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