Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

294.31 – 300.23

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

193 – 209

Prediction correct · off by 96.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 365.5 ±9.8

1024Kil-A-Bytes

Season APEX 228.7Event APEX 137.84Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10434CYBEARS

Season APEX 48Event APEX 75.7Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1747Harrison Boiler Robotics

Season APEX 88.8Event APEX 80.77Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 348 ±10.4

461Westside Boiler Invasion

Season APEX 151.8Event APEX 139.73Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4982Olympus Robotics

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 118.92Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

447Team Roboto

Season APEX 100.4Event APEX 41.58Rank 22Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1024, 10434, 1747

/ 100 compat

Projected

294.3 pts

~1.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1024, 10434, 1747

Auto

47.2 16%

Teleop

160.1 54%

Endgame

88.9 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 461, 4982, 447

/ 100 compat

Projected

300.2 pts

~1.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 461, 4982, 447

Auto

48.0 16%

Teleop

174.4 59%

Endgame

71.8 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.51 · Blue 1.68

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score294.3pts

Blue projected score300.2pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -5.9
Score range: 245–349
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 402 vs event baseline 272.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

365.5Season APEX348

47.2Auto48

160.1Teleop174.4

88.9Endgame71.8

199Consistency164

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	53	22
teleop	73	105
endgame	67	82
foul	0	0
total	193	209

Result

Final score

193 – 209

Prediction correct · off by 96.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.