Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

201.41 – 339.14

15%85%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

139 – 420

Prediction correct · off by 71.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 376.4 ±9.8

9119Iron Legends

Season APEX 79.6Event APEX 84.17Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3176Purple Precision

Season APEX 133.1Event APEX 82.18Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1741Red Alert

Season APEX 163.7Event APEX 35.06Rank 26Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 495.6 ±9.8

829The Digital Goats

Season APEX 116.8Event APEX 115.56Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10021Guerin Catholic Golden Gears

Season APEX 283Event APEX 152.73Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4982Olympus Robotics

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 70.85Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9119, 3176, 1741

/ 100 compat

Projected

201.4 pts

~0.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 9119, 3176, 1741

Auto

29.5 14%

Teleop

121.6 57%

Endgame

63.0 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 829, 10021, 4982

/ 100 compat

Projected

339.1 pts

~2.4 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 829, 10021, 4982

Auto

59.1 18%

Teleop

178.5 53%

Endgame

98.9 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.88 · Blue 2.43

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score201.4pts

Blue projected score339.1pts

Red win probability15%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 20%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -137.7
Score range: 151–389
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 559 vs event baseline 280.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

376.4Season APEX495.6

29.5Auto59.1

121.6Teleop178.5

63Endgame98.9

70Consistency117

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	60
teleop	76	271
endgame	37	89
foul	0	0
total	139	420

Result

Final score

139 – 420

Prediction correct · off by 71.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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