Final · Finals 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

376.65 – 361.77

55%45%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

359 – 274

Prediction correct · off by 52.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 673.8 ±8.1

1741Red Alert

Season APEX 163.7Event APEX 35.47Rank 26Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 159.67Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4272Maverick Robotics

Season APEX 235.8Event APEX 181.51Rank 1Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 603.6 ±9.3

7617RoboBlazers

Season APEX 91.9Event APEX 57.27Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10021Guerin Catholic Golden Gears

Season APEX 283Event APEX 155.22Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1024Kil-A-Bytes

Season APEX 228.7Event APEX 149.28Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1741, 7457, 4272

/ 100 compat

Projected

376.7 pts

~1.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1741, 7457, 4272

Auto

96.5 26%

Teleop

189.5 51%

Endgame

82.2 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7617, 10021, 1024

/ 100 compat

Projected

361.8 pts

~1.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 7617, 10021, 1024

Auto

73.5 21%

Teleop

186.1 53%

Endgame

89.0 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.76 · Blue 1.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score376.7pts

Blue projected score361.8pts

Red win probability55%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 14.9
Score range: 312–427
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 633 vs event baseline 279.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

673.8Season APEX603.6

96.5Auto73.5

189.5Teleop186.1

82.2Endgame89

99Consistency123

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	58	50
teleop	190	178
endgame	96	46
foul	15	0
total	359	274

Result

Final score

359 – 274

Prediction correct · off by 52.7 pts

Match videos

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