ROCK RIVER ROBOTICS OFF-SEASON COMPETITION

Playoff · Playoff Match 9 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

198.04 – 237.54

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

236 – 345

Prediction correct · off by 72.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 270.2 ±12.2

10029The Portotypes

Season APEX 21.3Event APEX -17.21Rank 25Record 1-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

461Westside Boiler Invasion

Season APEX 151.8Event APEX 105.51Rank 5Record 4-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8880Terra Cyborg

Season APEX 97.1Event APEX 109.74Rank 7Record 3-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 619 ±12.4

648QC ELITE Flaming Squirrels

Season APEX 91.3Event APEX 41.12Rank 18Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91

4096Ctrl-Z

Season APEX 276.4Event APEX 68.09Rank 8Record 3-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2338Gear It Forward

Season APEX 251.3Event APEX 128.33Rank 2Record 5-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10029, 461, 8880

/ 100 compat

Projected

198 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10029, 461, 8880

Auto

41.6 21%

Teleop

114.1 59%

Endgame

38.9 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 648, 4096, 2338

/ 100 compat

Projected

237.5 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 648, 4096, 2338

Auto

65.8 28%

Teleop

99.1 42%

Endgame

69.7 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.26 · Blue 1.76

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score198pts

Blue projected score237.5pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample72alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -39.5
Score range: 157–279
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 581 vs event baseline 228.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

270.2Season APEX619

41.6Auto65.8

114.1Teleop99.1

38.9Endgame69.7

87Consistency91

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	91
teleop	168	168
endgame	46	86
foul	0	0
total	236	345

Result

Final score

236 – 345

Prediction correct · off by 72.7 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.