ROCK RIVER ROBOTICS OFF-SEASON COMPETITION

Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

356.29 – 210.21

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

507 – 174

Prediction correct · off by 93.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 453.4 ±12.8

11195VOLT Robotics

Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 41.5Rank 15Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 95

111WildStang

Season APEX 241Event APEX 137.38Rank 6Record 4-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10435IRS - Intelligent Robotic Systems

Season APEX 139.3Event APEX 177.41Rank 1Record 5-0-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 270.2 ±12.2

461Westside Boiler Invasion

Season APEX 151.8Event APEX 112.73Rank 5Record 4-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10029The Portotypes

Season APEX 21.3Event APEX -13.49Rank 25Record 1-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8880Terra Cyborg

Season APEX 97.1Event APEX 110.97Rank 7Record 3-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11195, 111, 10435

/ 100 compat

Projected

356.3 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11195, 111, 10435

Auto

61.0 17%

Teleop

230.6 66%

Endgame

58.8 17%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 461, 10029, 8880

/ 100 compat

Projected

210.2 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 461, 10029, 8880

Auto

42.9 21%

Teleop

122.0 60%

Endgame

39.8 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.25 · Blue 0.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score356.3pts

Blue projected score210.2pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample72alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 146.1
Score range: 170–396
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 681 vs event baseline 221.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

453.4Season APEX270.2

61Auto42.9

230.6Teleop122

58.8Endgame39.8

61Consistency79

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	104	40
teleop	274	99
endgame	129	35
foul	0	0
total	507	174

Result

Final score

507 – 174

Prediction correct · off by 93.5 pts

Match videos

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