Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
175.85 – 175.48
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
267 – 107
Prediction correct · off by 79.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 270.2 ±12.2
Season APEX 21.3Event APEX -25.53Rank 25Record 1-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 151.8Event APEX 104.27Rank 5Record 4-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 97.1Event APEX 97.11Rank 7Record 3-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 286.9 ±15.6
2151PMSA Monty Pythons
Provisional
Season APEX 32.6Event APEX 37.75Rank 9Record 3-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 34.6Rank 24Record 1-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 90.2Event APEX 103.13Rank 10Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10029, 461, 8880
56
/ 100 compatProjected
175.9 pts
~1.5 RP (offseason)
Teams: 10029, 461, 8880
Auto
24.6 14%
Teleop
109.5 63%
Endgame
41.1 23%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2151, 2704, 112
56
/ 100 compatProjected
175.5 pts
~1.5 RP (offseason)
Teams: 2151, 2704, 112
Auto
33.5 19%
Teleop
84.7 48%
Endgame
58.1 33%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.51 · Blue 1.49
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score175.9pts
Blue projected score175.5pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample72alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 41%, blue 42%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 6%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0.4
- Score range
- 136–215
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
270.2Season APEX286.9
24.6Auto33.5
109.5Teleop84.7
41.1Endgame58.1
95Consistency71
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 71 | 25 |
| teleop | 145 | 55 |
| endgame | 36 | 27 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 267 | 107 |
Result
Final score
267 – 107
Prediction correct · off by 79.8 pts
Match videos
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