ROCK RIVER ROBOTICS OFF-SEASON COMPETITION

Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

257.97 – 0

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

321 – 129

Prediction correct · off by 96 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 500.2 ±11

2338Gear It Forward

Season APEX 251.3Event APEX 80.66Rank 2Record 5-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

461Westside Boiler Invasion

Season APEX 151.8Event APEX 140.36Rank 5Record 4-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8880Terra Cyborg

Season APEX 97.1Event APEX 36.95Rank 7Record 3-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 240.9 ±14.9

2039Rockford Robotics

Season APEX 29.5Event APEX 12.01Rank 22Record 1-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

2358Bearbotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX -21.9Rank 17Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

171Cheese Curd Herd

Season APEX 112.4Event APEX -28.97Rank 13Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2338, 461, 8880

/ 100 compat

Projected

258 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2338, 461, 8880

Auto

39.9 15%

Teleop

145.5 56%

Endgame

73.0 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2039, 2358, 171

/ 100 compat

Projected

-38.9 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2039, 2358, 171

Auto

-18.5 46%

Teleop

-18.2 45%

Endgame

-3.5 9%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.63 · Blue 0.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score258pts

Blue projected score-38.9pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample72alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 258
Score range: -34–292
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 450 vs event baseline 186.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

500.2Season APEX240.9

39.9Auto-18.5

145.5Teleop-18.2

73Endgame-3.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	67	36
teleop	165	45
endgame	89	43
foul	0	5
total	321	129

Result

Final score

321 – 129

Prediction correct · off by 96 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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