ROCK RIVER ROBOTICS OFF-SEASON COMPETITION

Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

256.11 – 69.61

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

298 – 94

Prediction correct · off by 33.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 433 ±14.1

11195VOLT Robotics

Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 65.9Rank 15Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 95

5934Crowbotics

Season APEX 112Event APEX 121.07Rank 4Record 4-1-0Status establishedConfidence 82

4655Stateline Robotics

Season APEX 247.9Event APEX 69.14Rank 14Record 3-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 365.7 ±41

1625Winnovation

Season APEX 201.6Event APEX 66.32Rank 12Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9988Off-Season Demo Team 9988

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -4.15Rank 23Record 1-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

2704Roaring Robotics

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 7.44Rank 24Record 1-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11195, 5934, 4655

/ 100 compat

Projected

256.1 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11195, 5934, 4655

Auto

70.3 28%

Teleop

118.1 47%

Endgame

61.9 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1625, 9988, 2704

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.6 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1625, 9988, 2704

Auto

18.9 29%

Teleop

20.3 32%

Endgame

25.1 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.3 · Blue 0.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score256.1pts

Blue projected score69.6pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample72alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 186.5
Score range: 25–301
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 392 vs event baseline 251.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

433Season APEX365.7

70.3Auto18.9

118.1Teleop20.3

61.9Endgame25.1

36Consistency120

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	81	13
teleop	119	46
endgame	83	35
foul	15	0
total	298	94

Result

Final score

298 – 94

Prediction correct · off by 33.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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