ROCK RIVER ROBOTICS OFF-SEASON COMPETITION

Qualification · Qualification 5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

157.1 – 402.74

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

59 – 455

Prediction correct · off by 75.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 238.9 ±15

648QC ELITE Flaming Squirrels

Season APEX 91.3Event APEX 45.3Rank 18Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91

10029The Portotypes

Season APEX 21.3Event APEX -24.55Rank 25Record 1-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11173STAR FORCE

Season APEX 126.3Event APEX 136.35Rank 16Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 381.3 ±12.2

112Plus One

Season APEX 90.2Event APEX 83.51Rank 10Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10435IRS - Intelligent Robotic Systems

Season APEX 139.3Event APEX 208.8Rank 1Record 5-0-0Status establishedConfidence 97

461Westside Boiler Invasion

Season APEX 151.8Event APEX 110.43Rank 5Record 4-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 648, 10029, 11173

/ 100 compat

Projected

157.1 pts

~0.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 648, 10029, 11173

Auto

33.7 23%

Teleop

84.1 57%

Endgame

29.3 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 112, 10435, 461

/ 100 compat

Projected

402.7 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 112, 10435, 461

Auto

47.2 12%

Teleop

244.0 61%

Endgame

110.0 27%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.44 · Blue 2.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score157.1pts

Blue projected score402.7pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample72alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 17%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -245.6
Score range: 112–448
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 514 vs event baseline 251.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

238.9Season APEX381.3

33.7Auto47.2

84.1Teleop244

29.3Endgame110

76Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	60
teleop	31	265
endgame	19	130
foul	0	0
total	59	455

Result

Final score

59 – 455

Prediction correct · off by 75.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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