ROCK RIVER ROBOTICS OFF-SEASON COMPETITION

Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

256.8 – 275.33

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

330 – 417

Prediction correct · off by 107.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 446.4 ±14.7

461Westside Boiler Invasion

Season APEX 151.8Event APEX 98.64Rank 5Record 4-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

111WildStang

Season APEX 241Event APEX 124.21Rank 6Record 4-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5125Hawks on the Horizon

Provisional

Season APEX 53.6Event APEX 33.95Rank 21Record 1-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 537.7 ±10.5

2194Fondy Fire

Season APEX 245.9Event APEX 139.27Rank 3Record 4-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1625Winnovation

Season APEX 201.6Event APEX 47.95Rank 12Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

112Plus One

Season APEX 90.2Event APEX 88.11Rank 10Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 461, 111, 5125

/ 100 compat

Projected

256.8 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 461, 111, 5125

Auto

52.0 20%

Teleop

134.1 52%

Endgame

71.5 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2194, 1625, 112

/ 100 compat

Projected

275.3 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2194, 1625, 112

Auto

39.5 14%

Teleop

197.4 72%

Endgame

36.4 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.41 · Blue 1.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score256.8pts

Blue projected score275.3pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample72alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 18%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -18.5
Score range: 220–312
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 747 vs event baseline 207.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

446.4Season APEX537.7

52Auto39.5

134.1Teleop197.4

71.5Endgame36.4

113Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	20
teleop	202	257
endgame	57	130
foul	20	10
total	330	417

Result

Final score

330 – 417

Prediction correct · off by 107.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.