Qualification · Qualification 20
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
57.2 – 190.73
16%84%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
69 – 182
Prediction correct · off by 10.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 432.6 ±12.7
Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 40.2Rank 24Record 1-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 247.2Event APEX 39.51Rank 20Record 1-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 21.3Event APEX -22.51Rank 25Record 1-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 454.8 ±13.5
Season APEX 112.2Event APEX 29.49Rank 19Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Season APEX 91.3Event APEX 41.16Rank 18Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91
Season APEX 251.3Event APEX 120.08Rank 2Record 5-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2704, 167, 10029
25
/ 100 compatProjected
57.2 pts
~0.6 RP (offseason)
Teams: 2704, 167, 10029
Auto
9.7 18%
Teleop
15.2 27%
Endgame
30.4 55%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 25%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5442, 648, 2338
61
/ 100 compatProjected
190.7 pts
~2.2 RP (offseason)
Teams: 5442, 648, 2338
Auto
34.3 18%
Teleop
105.0 54%
Endgame
55.4 28%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 25%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.64 · Blue 2.16
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score57.2pts
Blue projected score190.7pts
Red win probability16%
Event bonus sample72alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 25%, blue 42%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -133.5
- Score range
- 19–229
- Upset likelihood
- 16%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
432.6Season APEX454.8
9.7Auto34.3
15.2Teleop105
30.4Endgame55.4
95Consistency74
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 61 | 46 |
| teleop | 8 | 78 |
| endgame | 0 | 43 |
| foul | 0 | 15 |
| total | 69 | 182 |
Result
Final score
69 – 182
Prediction correct · off by 10.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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