ROCK RIVER ROBOTICS OFF-SEASON COMPETITION

Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

115.93 – 323.74

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

90 – 257

Prediction correct · off by 46.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 218.7 ±16.3

2039Rockford Robotics

Season APEX 29.5Event APEX -12.46Rank 22Record 1-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

2290FLYT

Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 83.09Rank 11Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

648QC ELITE Flaming Squirrels

Season APEX 91.3Event APEX 45.3Rank 18Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 439.9 ±14.7

5934Crowbotics

Season APEX 112Event APEX 121.07Rank 4Record 4-1-0Status establishedConfidence 82

11173STAR FORCE

Season APEX 126.3Event APEX 136.35Rank 16Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91

1625Winnovation

Season APEX 201.6Event APEX 66.32Rank 12Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2039, 2290, 648

/ 100 compat

Projected

115.9 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2039, 2290, 648

Auto

27.0 24%

Teleop

59.4 52%

Endgame

27.7 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5934, 11173, 1625

/ 100 compat

Projected

323.7 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5934, 11173, 1625

Auto

50.4 17%

Teleop

164.0 54%

Endgame

87.4 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.67 · Blue 2.41

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score115.9pts

Blue projected score323.7pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample72alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -207.8
Score range: 71–369
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 347 vs event baseline 251.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

218.7Season APEX439.9

27Auto50.4

59.4Teleop164

27.7Endgame87.4

123Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	0	48
teleop	56	129
endgame	34	55
foul	0	25
total	90	257

Result

Final score

90 – 257

Prediction correct · off by 46.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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