ROCK RIVER ROBOTICS OFF-SEASON COMPETITION

Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

200.28 – 398.41

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

154 – 245

Prediction correct · off by 99.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 216.8 ±14.8

112Plus One

Season APEX 90.2Event APEX 99.65Rank 10Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2039Rockford Robotics

Season APEX 29.5Event APEX -2.04Rank 22Record 1-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

8880Terra Cyborg

Season APEX 97.1Event APEX 102.67Rank 7Record 3-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 485.1 ±12.8

10435IRS - Intelligent Robotic Systems

Season APEX 139.3Event APEX 208.44Rank 1Record 5-0-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2290FLYT

Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 117.26Rank 11Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4655Stateline Robotics

Season APEX 247.9Event APEX 72.71Rank 14Record 3-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 112, 2039, 8880

/ 100 compat

Projected

200.3 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 112, 2039, 8880

Auto

21.3 10%

Teleop

126.8 62%

Endgame

56.9 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10435, 2290, 4655

/ 100 compat

Projected

398.4 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10435, 2290, 4655

Auto

51.3 13%

Teleop

243.6 62%

Endgame

95.1 24%

Strengths

· 10435 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.82 · Blue 2.38

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score200.3pts

Blue projected score398.4pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample72alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -198.1
Score range: 161–437
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 399 vs event baseline 216.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

216.8Season APEX485.1

21.3Auto51.3

126.8Teleop243.6

56.9Endgame95.1

107Consistency21

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	50
teleop	127	151
endgame	20	39
foul	0	5
total	154	245

Result

Final score

154 – 245

Prediction correct · off by 99.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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