ROCK RIVER ROBOTICS OFF-SEASON COMPETITION

Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

207.12 – 240.36

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

296 – 371

Prediction correct · off by 109.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 492.9 ±12.9

4096Ctrl-Z

Season APEX 276.4Event APEX 73.78Rank 8Record 3-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11173STAR FORCE

Season APEX 126.3Event APEX 55.13Rank 16Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91

112Plus One

Season APEX 90.2Event APEX 78.21Rank 10Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 456.3 ±14.1

167Children of the Corn

Season APEX 247.2Event APEX 13.96Rank 20Record 1-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8880Terra Cyborg

Season APEX 97.1Event APEX 84.46Rank 7Record 3-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5934Crowbotics

Season APEX 112Event APEX 141.94Rank 4Record 4-1-0Status establishedConfidence 82

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4096, 11173, 112

/ 100 compat

Projected

207.1 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4096, 11173, 112

Auto

48.7 25%

Teleop

91.9 48%

Endgame

50.5 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 167, 8880, 5934

/ 100 compat

Projected

240.4 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 167, 8880, 5934

Auto

26.2 12%

Teleop

134.1 60%

Endgame

64.3 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.33 · Blue 1.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score207.1pts

Blue projected score240.4pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample72alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -33.2
Score range: 168–279
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 667 vs event baseline 214.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

492.9Season APEX456.3

48.7Auto26.2

91.9Teleop134.1

50.5Endgame64.3

92Consistency96

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	53	43
teleop	198	193
endgame	45	135
foul	0	0
total	296	371

Result

Final score

296 – 371

Prediction correct · off by 109.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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