ROCK RIVER ROBOTICS OFF-SEASON COMPETITION

Qualification · Qualification 12

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

218.23 – 36.25

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

144 – 31

Prediction correct · off by 39.7 points

Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 293.5 ±14.9

461Westside Boiler Invasion

Season APEX 151.8Event APEX 150.4Rank 5Record 4-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5442Mechanical Monarchy

Season APEX 112.2Event APEX 38.84Rank 19Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 95

2039Rockford Robotics

Season APEX 29.5Event APEX 28.99Rank 22Record 1-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 86.2 ±43.5

2151PMSA Monty Pythons

Provisional

Season APEX 32.6Event APEX 43.21Rank 9Record 3-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

5125Hawks on the Horizon

Provisional

Season APEX 53.6Event APEX 17.93Rank 21Record 1-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9988Off-Season Demo Team 9988

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -24.89Rank 23Record 1-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 461, 5442, 2039

/ 100 compat

Projected

218.2 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 461, 5442, 2039

Auto

34.7 16%

Teleop

105.9 48%

Endgame

78.4 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2151, 5125, 9988

/ 100 compat

Projected

36.3 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2151, 5125, 9988

Auto

10.4 20%

Teleop

-15.9 0%

Endgame

56.7 100%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.37 · Blue 0.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score218.2pts

Blue projected score36.3pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample72alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 182
Score range: -1–255
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 175 vs event baseline 208.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

293.5Season APEX86.2

34.7Auto10.4

105.9Teleop-15.9

78.4Endgame56.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	12
teleop	96	9
endgame	34	10
foul	0	0
total	144	31

Result

Final score

144 – 31

Prediction correct · off by 39.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.