ROCK RIVER ROBOTICS OFF-SEASON COMPETITION

Qualification · Qualification 10

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

87.92 – 184.74

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

250 – 262

Prediction correct · off by 119.7 points

Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 388.3 ±13.9

11173STAR FORCE

Season APEX 126.3Event APEX 26.45Rank 16Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91

2704Roaring Robotics

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 12.49Rank 24Record 1-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2290FLYT

Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 48.98Rank 11Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 404.3 ±12.2

112Plus One

Season APEX 90.2Event APEX 63.44Rank 10Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

111WildStang

Season APEX 241Event APEX 97.04Rank 6Record 4-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11195VOLT Robotics

Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 24.26Rank 15Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11173, 2704, 2290

/ 100 compat

Projected

87.9 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11173, 2704, 2290

Auto

8.5 10%

Teleop

57.7 68%

Endgame

18.5 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 112, 111, 11195

/ 100 compat

Projected

184.7 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 112, 111, 11195

Auto

59.2 32%

Teleop

70.1 38%

Endgame

55.8 30%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.88 · Blue 2.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score87.9pts

Blue projected score184.7pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample72alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -96.8
Score range: 51–222
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Combined score 512 vs event baseline 206.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

388.3Season APEX404.3

8.5Auto59.2

57.7Teleop70.1

18.5Endgame55.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	66
teleop	99	155
endgame	69	41
foul	35	0
total	250	262

Result

Final score

250 – 262

Prediction correct · off by 119.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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