ROCK RIVER ROBOTICS OFF-SEASON COMPETITION

Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

426.89 – 315.46

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

493 – 271

Prediction correct · off by 55.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 453.4 ±12.8

11195VOLT Robotics

Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 61.87Rank 15Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 95

111WildStang

Season APEX 241Event APEX 160.72Rank 6Record 4-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10435IRS - Intelligent Robotic Systems

Season APEX 139.3Event APEX 204.3Rank 1Record 5-0-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 485.9 ±12.9

171Cheese Curd Herd

Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 83.37Rank 13Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11173STAR FORCE

Season APEX 126.3Event APEX 136.7Rank 16Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91

167Children of the Corn

Season APEX 247.2Event APEX 95.39Rank 20Record 1-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11195, 111, 10435

/ 100 compat

Projected

426.9 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11195, 111, 10435

Auto

75.0 18%

Teleop

245.1 58%

Endgame

103.6 24%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 171, 11173, 167

/ 100 compat

Projected

315.5 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 171, 11173, 167

Auto

52.4 18%

Teleop

172.0 58%

Endgame

71.5 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.13 · Blue 0.81

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score426.9pts

Blue projected score315.5pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample72alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 111.4
Score range: 270–472
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 764 vs event baseline 248.1.

← Previous

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

453.4Season APEX485.9

75Auto52.4

245.1Teleop172

103.6Endgame71.5

34Consistency16

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	116	40
teleop	258	137
endgame	114	94
foul	5	0
total	493	271

Result

Final score

493 – 271

Prediction correct · off by 55.3 pts

Match videos

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