Final · Finals 1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
407.79 – 311.69
77%23%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
511 – 347
Prediction correct · off by 69.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 453.4 ±12.8
Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 55.75Rank 15Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Season APEX 241Event APEX 155.59Rank 6Record 4-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 139.3Event APEX 196.45Rank 1Record 5-0-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 485.9 ±12.9
Season APEX 247.2Event APEX 93.62Rank 20Record 1-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 126.3Event APEX 132.34Rank 16Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91
Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 85.73Rank 13Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 11195, 111, 10435
81
/ 100 compatProjected
407.8 pts
~2.1 RP (offseason)
Teams: 11195, 111, 10435
Auto
69.4 17%
Teleop
240.0 59%
Endgame
94.7 23%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 8%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 167, 11173, 171
71
/ 100 compatProjected
311.7 pts
~0.9 RP (offseason)
Teams: 167, 11173, 171
Auto
50.6 17%
Teleop
174.7 60%
Endgame
64.0 22%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 8%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.06 · Blue 0.87
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score407.8pts
Blue projected score311.7pts
Red win probability77%
Event bonus sample72alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 43%, blue 34%
Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 96.1
- Score range
- 268–452
- Upset likelihood
- 23%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
453.4Season APEX485.9
69.4Auto50.6
240Teleop174.7
94.7Endgame64
36Consistency11
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 100 | 66 |
| teleop | 266 | 156 |
| endgame | 145 | 125 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 511 | 347 |
Result
Final score
511 – 347
Prediction correct · off by 69.3 pts
Match videos
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