Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

407.79311.69

77%23%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

511347

Prediction correct · off by 69.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 453.4 ±12.8
Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 55.75Rank 15Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Season APEX 241Event APEX 155.59Rank 6Record 4-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 139.3Event APEX 196.45Rank 1Record 5-0-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 485.9 ±12.9
Season APEX 247.2Event APEX 93.62Rank 20Record 1-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 126.3Event APEX 132.34Rank 16Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91
Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 85.73Rank 13Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11195, 111, 10435
81
/ 100 compat
Projected
407.8 pts
~2.1 RP (offseason)
Teams: 11195, 111, 10435
Auto
69.4 17%
Teleop
240.0 59%
Endgame
94.7 23%
Strengths
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 8%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 167, 11173, 171
71
/ 100 compat
Projected
311.7 pts
~0.9 RP (offseason)
Teams: 167, 11173, 171
Auto
50.6 17%
Teleop
174.7 60%
Endgame
64.0 22%
Strengths
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 8%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.06 · Blue 0.87
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score407.8pts
Blue projected score311.7pts
Red win probability77%
Event bonus sample72alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 43%, blue 34%
Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
96.1
Score range
268452
Upset likelihood
23%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset
High scoring
Playoff

Combined score 858 vs event baseline 242.8.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

453.4Season APEX485.9
69.4Auto50.6
240Teleop174.7
94.7Endgame64
36Consistency11

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto10066
teleop266156
endgame145125
foul00
total511347

Result

Final score

511347

Prediction correct · off by 69.3 pts

Match videos

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