Playoff · Playoff Match 9 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

388.68 – 152.89

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

573 – 167

Prediction correct · off by 99.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 655.1 ±11

2481Roboteers

Season APEX 378Event APEX 255.51Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7417Bionic Bombers

Season APEX 53.6Event APEX -3.2Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1756Argos

Season APEX 223.5Event APEX 136.37Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 337 ±14.1

4423MARS' Minions

Season APEX 63.6Event APEX 38.88Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 80

7848WI-FIghterz

Season APEX 115.9Event APEX 37.01Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8020CyberpunK

Season APEX 157.5Event APEX 77Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2481, 7417, 1756

/ 100 compat

Projected

388.7 pts

~2.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 2481, 7417, 1756

Auto

90.4 24%

Teleop

201.8 53%

Endgame

88.8 23%

Strengths

· 2481 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4423, 7848, 8020

/ 100 compat

Projected

152.9 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 4423, 7848, 8020

Auto

25.5 17%

Teleop

84.3 56%

Endgame

39.9 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.56 · Blue 0.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score388.7pts

Blue projected score152.9pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample156alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 235.8
Score range: 121–421
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 740 vs event baseline 179.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

655.1Season APEX337

90.4Auto25.5

201.8Teleop84.3

88.8Endgame39.9

0Consistency65

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	108	27
teleop	339	79
endgame	126	46
foul	0	15
total	573	167

Result

Final score

573 – 167

Prediction correct · off by 99.2 pts

Match videos

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