Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

152.97 – 123.61

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

119 – 34

Prediction correct · off by 61.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 337 ±14.1

7848WI-FIghterz

Season APEX 115.9Event APEX 37.2Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4423MARS' Minions

Season APEX 63.6Event APEX 37Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 80

8020CyberpunK

Season APEX 157.5Event APEX 78.77Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 272.8 ±14.6

3488Eagle Army

Season APEX 63.3Event APEX 27.93Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79

8096Cache Money

Season APEX 110.9Event APEX 47.33Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4213MetalCow Robotics

Season APEX 98.6Event APEX 48.35Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7848, 4423, 8020

/ 100 compat

Projected

153 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 7848, 4423, 8020

Auto

21.8 15%

Teleop

85.9 58%

Endgame

41.5 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3488, 8096, 4213

/ 100 compat

Projected

123.6 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 3488, 8096, 4213

Auto

17.5 15%

Teleop

75.0 63%

Endgame

26.3 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.83 · Blue 1.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score153pts

Blue projected score123.6pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample156alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 29.4
Score range: 91–186
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 153 vs event baseline 181.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

337Season APEX272.8

21.8Auto17.5

85.9Teleop75

41.5Endgame26.3

63Consistency65

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	24
teleop	57	5
endgame	24	0
foul	0	5
total	119	34

Result

Final score

119 – 34

Prediction correct · off by 61.8 pts

Match videos

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