Playoff · Playoff Match 12 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

184.65 – 412.55

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

175 – 483

Prediction correct · off by 40.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 406.7 ±11.6

6651Golden Bots

Season APEX 51.1Event APEX 28.93Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4655Stateline Robotics

Season APEX 247.9Event APEX 64.05Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2861Infinity's End

Season APEX 107.7Event APEX 91.67Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 655.1 ±11

7417Bionic Bombers

Season APEX 53.6Event APEX 4.63Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2481Roboteers

Season APEX 378Event APEX 264.05Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1756Argos

Season APEX 223.5Event APEX 143.87Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6651, 4655, 2861

/ 100 compat

Projected

184.6 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 6651, 4655, 2861

Auto

34.2 19%

Teleop

107.9 59%

Endgame

39.6 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7417, 2481, 1756

/ 100 compat

Projected

412.6 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 7417, 2481, 1756

Auto

92.2 23%

Teleop

220.0 54%

Endgame

93.6 23%

Strengths

· 2481 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.77 · Blue 2.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score184.6pts

Blue projected score412.6pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample156alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -227.9
Score range: 152–446
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 658 vs event baseline 183.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

406.7Season APEX655.1

34.2Auto92.2

107.9Teleop220

39.6Endgame93.6

12Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	74
teleop	112	292
endgame	38	102
foul	0	15
total	175	483

Result

Final score

175 – 483

Prediction correct · off by 40.1 pts

Match videos

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