Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

68.31 – 44.58

57%43%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

194 – 116

Prediction correct · off by 98.6 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 319.5 ±11.6

6651Golden Bots

Season APEX 51.1Event APEX 14.85Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8096Cache Money

Season APEX 110.9Event APEX 20.35Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8020CyberpunK

Season APEX 157.5Event APEX 33.11Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 405.8 ±13.9

7848WI-FIghterz

Season APEX 115.9Event APEX 47.69Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6237Martin Motion

Season APEX 199.9Event APEX -15.28Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4787Axiom

Season APEX 90Event APEX 12.17Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6651, 8096, 8020

/ 100 compat

Projected

68.3 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 6651, 8096, 8020

Auto

34.0 49%

Teleop

29.0 42%

Endgame

6.4 9%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7848, 6237, 4787

/ 100 compat

Projected

44.6 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 7848, 6237, 4787

Auto

-3.0 0%

Teleop

34.4 100%

Endgame

-2.1 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.79 · Blue 1.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score68.3pts

Blue projected score44.6pts

Red win probability57%

Event bonus sample156alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 23.7
Score range: 16–97
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 310 vs event baseline 158.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

319.5Season APEX405.8

34Auto-3

29Teleop34.4

6.4Endgame-2.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	48	5
teleop	117	54
endgame	19	57
foul	10	0
total	194	116

Result

Final score

194 – 116

Prediction correct · off by 98.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.