Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

141.11 – 122.51

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

355 – 135

Prediction correct · off by 113.2 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 533.1 ±11.7

2040DERT - Dunlap Eagles Robotics Team

Season APEX 192Event APEX 52.29Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4143MARS/WARS

Season APEX 274.6Event APEX 73.71Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4645The Chicago Style BotDogs

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 15.11Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 241.2 ±14.6

2861Infinity's End

Season APEX 107.7Event APEX 48.57Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3488Eagle Army

Season APEX 63.3Event APEX 51.14Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79

1736Robot Casserole

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 22.8Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2040, 4143, 4645

/ 100 compat

Projected

141.1 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 2040, 4143, 4645

Auto

22.8 17%

Teleop

81.2 61%

Endgame

28.1 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2861, 3488, 1736

/ 100 compat

Projected

122.5 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 2861, 3488, 1736

Auto

16.2 14%

Teleop

66.4 59%

Endgame

30.6 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.78 · Blue 1.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score141.1pts

Blue projected score122.5pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample156alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 18.6
Score range: 100–164
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 490 vs event baseline 129.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

533.1Season APEX241.2

22.8Auto16.2

81.2Teleop66.4

28.1Endgame30.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	76	20
teleop	190	77
endgame	89	38
foul	0	0
total	355	135

Result

Final score

355 – 135

Prediction correct · off by 113.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.