Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

125.8 – 332.86

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

82 – 374

Prediction correct · off by 42.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 267.4 ±13.3

4787Axiom

Season APEX 90Event APEX 33.37Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4645The Chicago Style BotDogs

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 41.84Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 94

8096Cache Money

Season APEX 110.9Event APEX 50.59Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 482.7 ±11.6

2481Roboteers

Season APEX 378Event APEX 285.2Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6651Golden Bots

Season APEX 51.1Event APEX 24.13Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7417Bionic Bombers

Season APEX 53.6Event APEX 23.53Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4787, 4645, 8096

/ 100 compat

Projected

125.8 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 4787, 4645, 8096

Auto

23.8 19%

Teleop

67.2 53%

Endgame

36.4 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2481, 6651, 7417

/ 100 compat

Projected

332.9 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 2481, 6651, 7417

Auto

90.0 27%

Teleop

176.7 54%

Endgame

62.1 19%

Strengths

· 2481 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.8 · Blue 2.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score125.8pts

Blue projected score332.9pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample156alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -207.1
Score range: 94–365
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 456 vs event baseline 177.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

267.4Season APEX482.7

23.8Auto90

67.2Teleop176.7

36.4Endgame62.1

42Consistency8

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	90
teleop	46	218
endgame	13	66
foul	15	0
total	82	374

Result

Final score

82 – 374

Prediction correct · off by 42.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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