Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

29.77 – 239.36

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

56 – 263

Prediction correct · off by 24.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 240.8 ±12.7

8719Oakville Dynamics

Season APEX 75.2Event APEX -7.25Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4787Axiom

Season APEX 90Event APEX 31.02Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8029Steel Bronco Robotics

Season APEX 75.6Event APEX 6Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 509.5 ±11.7

7848WI-FIghterz

Season APEX 115.9Event APEX 46.19Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1625Winnovation

Season APEX 201.6Event APEX 91.21Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2040DERT - Dunlap Eagles Robotics Team

Season APEX 192Event APEX 101.96Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8719, 4787, 8029

/ 100 compat

Projected

29.8 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 8719, 4787, 8029

Auto

12.7 50%

Teleop

-6.4 0%

Endgame

19.0 75%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7848, 1625, 2040

/ 100 compat

Projected

239.4 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 7848, 1625, 2040

Auto

47.4 20%

Teleop

129.6 56%

Endgame

55.1 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.67 · Blue 2.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score29.8pts

Blue projected score239.4pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample156alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -209.6
Score range: -2–271
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 319 vs event baseline 179.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

240.8Season APEX509.5

12.7Auto47.4

-6.4Teleop129.6

19Endgame55.1

54Consistency57

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	49
teleop	32	173
endgame	16	41
foul	0	0
total	56	263

Result

Final score

56 – 263

Prediction correct · off by 24.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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