Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

335.6 – 218.06

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

426 – 212

Prediction correct · off by 48.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 535.8 ±13.5

648QC ELITE Flaming Squirrels

Season APEX 91.3Event APEX 16.76Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 91

2481Roboteers

Season APEX 378Event APEX 281.57Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3067Robovikes

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 37.27Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 401.7 ±13.3

2022Titan Robotics

Season APEX 94.1Event APEX 50.78Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 94

6237Martin Motion

Season APEX 199.9Event APEX 74.82Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2861Infinity's End

Season APEX 107.7Event APEX 92.46Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 648, 2481, 3067

/ 100 compat

Projected

335.6 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 648, 2481, 3067

Auto

80.4 24%

Teleop

180.0 54%

Endgame

72.5 22%

Strengths

· 2481 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2022, 6237, 2861

/ 100 compat

Projected

218.1 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 2022, 6237, 2861

Auto

23.4 11%

Teleop

119.4 55%

Endgame

74.1 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.39 · Blue 1.13

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score335.6pts

Blue projected score218.1pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample156alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 117.5
Score range: 186–368
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 638 vs event baseline 178.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

535.8Season APEX401.7

80.4Auto23.4

180Teleop119.4

72.5Endgame74.1

32Consistency44

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	100	13
teleop	217	120
endgame	109	74
foul	0	5
total	426	212

Result

Final score

426 – 212

Prediction correct · off by 48.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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