Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

114.16 – 213.61

22%78%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

166 – 280

Prediction correct · off by 59.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 242.3 ±15.1

5442Mechanical Monarchy

Season APEX 112.2Event APEX 47.9Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

3067Robovikes

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 37.02Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4423MARS' Minions

Season APEX 63.6Event APEX 29.24Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 80

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 551 ±11

4096Ctrl-Z

Season APEX 276.4Event APEX 43.61Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6651Golden Bots

Season APEX 51.1Event APEX 28.94Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1756Argos

Season APEX 223.5Event APEX 141.06Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5442, 3067, 4423

/ 100 compat

Projected

114.2 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 5442, 3067, 4423

Auto

1.5 1%

Teleop

90.9 82%

Endgame

18.0 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4096, 6651, 1756

/ 100 compat

Projected

213.6 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 4096, 6651, 1756

Auto

29.9 14%

Teleop

114.3 54%

Endgame

67.5 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.08 · Blue 2.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score114.2pts

Blue projected score213.6pts

Red win probability22%

Event bonus sample156alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -99.5
Score range: 83–245
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 446 vs event baseline 172.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

242.3Season APEX551

1.5Auto29.9

90.9Teleop114.3

18Endgame67.5

40Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	35
teleop	91	176
endgame	66	64
foul	0	5
total	166	280

Result

Final score

166 – 280

Prediction correct · off by 59.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.