Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

313.04 – 160.98

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

451 – 141

Prediction correct · off by 79 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 535.4 ±14.1

2481Roboteers

Season APEX 378Event APEX 270.82Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3488Eagle Army

Season APEX 63.3Event APEX 2.66Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79

2022Titan Robotics

Season APEX 94.1Event APEX 39.56Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 317.7 ±12.8

8020CyberpunK

Season APEX 157.5Event APEX 93.12Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1736Robot Casserole

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 33.21Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4787Axiom

Season APEX 90Event APEX 34.65Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2481, 3488, 2022

/ 100 compat

Projected

313 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 2481, 3488, 2022

Auto

75.2 24%

Teleop

159.5 50%

Endgame

81.3 26%

Strengths

· 2481 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8020, 1736, 4787

/ 100 compat

Projected

161 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 8020, 1736, 4787

Auto

29.2 20%

Teleop

75.7 53%

Endgame

37.9 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.48 · Blue 0.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score313pts

Blue projected score161pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample156alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 152.1
Score range: 131–343
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 592 vs event baseline 166.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

535.4Season APEX317.7

75.2Auto29.2

159.5Teleop75.7

81.3Endgame37.9

38Consistency30

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	89	22
teleop	266	58
endgame	96	51
foul	0	10
total	451	141

Result

Final score

451 – 141

Prediction correct · off by 79 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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