Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

304.51 – 95.05

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

471 – 191

Prediction correct · off by 131.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 794.2 ±10.4

2481Roboteers

Season APEX 378Event APEX 250.7Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3284Camdenton LASER 3284

Season APEX 214.6Event APEX -19.37Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1625Winnovation

Season APEX 201.6Event APEX 73.18Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 320.1 ±14.9

4213MetalCow Robotics

Season APEX 98.6Event APEX 42.36Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2040DERT - Dunlap Eagles Robotics Team

Season APEX 192Event APEX 78.72Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2039Rockford Robotics

Season APEX 29.5Event APEX -26.03Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2481, 3284, 1625

/ 100 compat

Projected

304.5 pts

~2.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 2481, 3284, 1625

Auto

92.1 30%

Teleop

144.5 47%

Endgame

72.3 23%

Strengths

· 2481 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4213, 2040, 2039

/ 100 compat

Projected

95.1 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 4213, 2040, 2039

Auto

20.8 24%

Teleop

42.1 49%

Endgame

23.3 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.63 · Blue 0.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score304.5pts

Blue projected score95.1pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample156alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 209.5
Score range: 66–334
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 662 vs event baseline 163.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

794.2Season APEX320.1

92.1Auto20.8

144.5Teleop42.1

72.3Endgame23.3

93Consistency99

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	106	34
teleop	267	111
endgame	88	46
foul	10	0
total	471	191

Result

Final score

471 – 191

Prediction correct · off by 131.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.