Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

44.9 – 235.23

9%91%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

86 – 310

Prediction correct · off by 57.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 228.1 ±13.3

6651Golden Bots

Season APEX 51.1Event APEX 51.11Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7472R2JESU Robotics

Season APEX 61.1Event APEX -21.34Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7848WI-FIghterz

Season APEX 115.9Event APEX 15.13Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 429.2 ±12.2

1736Robot Casserole

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 16.01Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4143MARS/WARS

Season APEX 274.6Event APEX 177.31Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9082No Limit

Season APEX 84.4Event APEX 41.91Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6651, 7472, 7848

/ 100 compat

Projected

44.9 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 6651, 7472, 7848

Auto

21.8 46%

Teleop

25.5 53%

Endgame

0.6 1%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1736, 4143, 9082

/ 100 compat

Projected

235.2 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 1736, 4143, 9082

Auto

43.2 20%

Teleop

133.8 61%

Endgame

41.0 19%

Strengths

· 4143 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.77 · Blue 2.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score44.9pts

Blue projected score235.2pts

Red win probability9%

Event bonus sample156alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -190.3
Score range: 16–264
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 396 vs event baseline 162.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

228.1Season APEX429.2

21.8Auto43.2

25.5Teleop133.8

0.6Endgame41

73Consistency93

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	6	38
teleop	37	181
endgame	43	81
foul	0	10
total	86	310

Result

Final score

86 – 310

Prediction correct · off by 57.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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