Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

103.33 – 163.62

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

56 – 69

Prediction correct · off by 71 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 262.9 ±13.9

4213MetalCow Robotics

Season APEX 98.6Event APEX 40.05Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1736Robot Casserole

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 28.72Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2022Titan Robotics

Season APEX 94.1Event APEX 34.56Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 205.4 ±14.6

3067Robovikes

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 64.11Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8029Steel Bronco Robotics

Season APEX 75.6Event APEX 46.63Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3488Eagle Army

Season APEX 63.3Event APEX 52.88Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4213, 1736, 2022

/ 100 compat

Projected

103.3 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 4213, 1736, 2022

Auto

12.7 15%

Teleop

45.5 55%

Endgame

23.9 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3067, 8029, 3488

/ 100 compat

Projected

163.6 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 3067, 8029, 3488

Auto

28.3 19%

Teleop

93.1 62%

Endgame

27.6 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.21 · Blue 2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score103.3pts

Blue projected score163.6pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample156alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -60.3
Score range: 73–194
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 125 vs event baseline 164.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

262.9Season APEX205.4

12.7Auto28.3

45.5Teleop93.1

23.9Endgame27.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	9
teleop	9	46
endgame	25	14
foul	15	0
total	56	69

Result

Final score

56 – 69

Prediction correct · off by 71 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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