Playoff · Playoff Match 9 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

204.09 – 138.32

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

245 – 148

Prediction correct · off by 25.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 298.2 ±12.1

112Plus One

Season APEX 90.2Event APEX 134.63Rank 8Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8880Terra Cyborg

Season APEX 97.1Event APEX -6.2Rank 18Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8096Cache Money

Season APEX 110.9Event APEX 75.66Rank 6Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 302.8 ±14.5

4213MetalCow Robotics

Season APEX 98.6Event APEX 0.91Rank 19Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7848WI-FIghterz

Season APEX 115.9Event APEX 80.57Rank 10Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1781Lindblom Electric Eagles

Season APEX 88.3Event APEX 56.84Rank 12Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 92

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 112, 8880, 8096

/ 100 compat

Projected

204.1 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 112, 8880, 8096

Auto

31.9 16%

Teleop

123.2 63%

Endgame

41.7 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4213, 7848, 1781

/ 100 compat

Projected

138.3 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4213, 7848, 1781

Auto

15.1 11%

Teleop

72.7 55%

Endgame

45.1 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.9 · Blue 1.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score204.1pts

Blue projected score138.3pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample76alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 65.8
Score range: 90–252
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Playoff

Combined score 393 vs event baseline 267.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

298.2Season APEX302.8

31.9Auto15.1

123.2Teleop72.7

41.7Endgame45.1

31Consistency69

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	16
teleop	143	79
endgame	74	53
foul	5	0
total	245	148

Result

Final score

245 – 148

Prediction correct · off by 25.3 pts