Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

215.06 – 209.9

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

206 – 112

Prediction correct · off by 53.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 298.2 ±12.1

112Plus One

Season APEX 90.2Event APEX 139.27Rank 8Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8880Terra Cyborg

Season APEX 97.1Event APEX -1.61Rank 18Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8096Cache Money

Season APEX 110.9Event APEX 77.4Rank 6Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 308.9 ±15.1

2290FLYT

Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 30.3Rank 15Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2358Bearbotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 105.3Rank 9Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5934Crowbotics

Season APEX 112Event APEX 74.3Rank 13Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 82

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 112, 8880, 8096

/ 100 compat

Projected

215.1 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 112, 8880, 8096

Auto

28.9 14%

Teleop

124.7 59%

Endgame

57.4 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2290, 2358, 5934

/ 100 compat

Projected

209.9 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2290, 2358, 5934

Auto

23.3 11%

Teleop

129.3 62%

Endgame

55.9 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.54 · Blue 1.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score215.1pts

Blue projected score209.9pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample76alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 18%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 5.2
Score range: 159–266
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Playoff

Combined score 318 vs event baseline 281.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

298.2Season APEX308.9

28.9Auto23.3

124.7Teleop129.3

57.4Endgame55.9

28Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	20
teleop	130	68
endgame	28	24
foul	5	0
total	206	112

Result

Final score

206 – 112

Prediction correct · off by 53.5 pts