Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

408.24 – 141.67

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

452 – 8

Prediction correct · off by 88.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 591 ±13.1

3488Eagle Army

Season APEX 63.3Event APEX -7.85Rank 20Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79

4096Ctrl-Z

Season APEX 276.4Event APEX 209.86Rank 1Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2338Gear It Forward

Season APEX 251.3Event APEX 206.23Rank 5Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

9998Off-Season Demo Team 9998

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9999Off-Season Demo Team 9999

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9997Off-Season Demo Team 9997

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3488, 4096, 2338

/ 100 compat

Projected

408.2 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3488, 4096, 2338

Auto

81.7 20%

Teleop

228.7 56%

Endgame

95.8 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9998, 9999, 9997

/ 100 compat

Projected

141.7 pts

~0.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9998, 9999, 9997

Auto

42.5 30%

Teleop

70.8 50%

Endgame

28.3 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.48 · Blue 0.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score408.2pts

Blue projected score141.7pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample76alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 23%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 266.6
Score range: 91–459
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 460 vs event baseline 283.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

591Season APEX0

81.7Auto-

228.7Teleop-

95.8Endgame-

63Consistency-

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	61	1
teleop	254	7
endgame	137	0
foul	0	0
total	452	8

Result

Final score

452 – 8

Prediction correct · off by 88.7 pts