Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

438.11 – 352.4

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

361 – 236

Prediction correct · off by 96.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 555.4 ±11.7

3067Robovikes

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 29.38Rank 21Record 0-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4655Stateline Robotics

Season APEX 247.9Event APEX 219.18Rank 3Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

111WildStang

Season APEX 241Event APEX 189.55Rank 7Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 406.1 ±12.2

8122Mechanical Mustaches

Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 9.03Rank 22Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3061Huskie Robotics

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 179.06Rank 4Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10435IRS - Intelligent Robotic Systems

Season APEX 139.3Event APEX 164.31Rank 2Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3067, 4655, 111

/ 100 compat

Projected

438.1 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3067, 4655, 111

Auto

96.9 22%

Teleop

254.1 58%

Endgame

87.1 20%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8122, 3061, 10435

/ 100 compat

Projected

352.4 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8122, 3061, 10435

Auto

70.3 20%

Teleop

188.1 54%

Endgame

92.9 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.02 · Blue 0.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score438.1pts

Blue projected score352.4pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample76alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 21%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 85.7
Score range: 304–486
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 597 vs event baseline 266.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

555.4Season APEX406.1

96.9Auto70.3

254.1Teleop188.1

87.1Endgame92.9

61Consistency71

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	96	66
teleop	212	72
endgame	53	98
foul	0	0
total	361	236

Result

Final score

361 – 236

Prediction correct · off by 96.8 pts