Playoff · Playoff Match 12 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

354.97 – 215.5

85%15%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

341 – 219

Prediction correct · off by 8.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 406.1 ±12.2

8122Mechanical Mustaches

Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 9.85Rank 22Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3061Huskie Robotics

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 179.93Rank 4Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10435IRS - Intelligent Robotic Systems

Season APEX 139.3Event APEX 165.19Rank 2Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 298.2 ±12.1

112Plus One

Season APEX 90.2Event APEX 137.97Rank 8Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8880Terra Cyborg

Season APEX 97.1Event APEX -1.9Rank 18Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8096Cache Money

Season APEX 110.9Event APEX 79.43Rank 6Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8122, 3061, 10435

/ 100 compat

Projected

355 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8122, 3061, 10435

Auto

67.4 19%

Teleop

187.9 53%

Endgame

98.3 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 112, 8880, 8096

/ 100 compat

Projected

215.5 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 112, 8880, 8096

Auto

29.5 14%

Teleop

129.5 62%

Endgame

49.7 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.11 · Blue 0.81

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score355pts

Blue projected score215.5pts

Red win probability85%

Event bonus sample76alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 139.5
Score range: 168–403
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 560 vs event baseline 266.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

406.1Season APEX298.2

67.4Auto29.5

187.9Teleop129.5

98.3Endgame49.7

64Consistency43

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	84	37
teleop	188	109
endgame	69	68
foul	0	5
total	341	219

Result

Final score

341 – 219

Prediction correct · off by 8.7 pts