Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

360.13 – 169.45

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

321 – 150

Prediction correct · off by 29.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 406.1 ±12.2

8122Mechanical Mustaches

Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 12.42Rank 22Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3061Huskie Robotics

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 180.77Rank 4Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10435IRS - Intelligent Robotic Systems

Season APEX 139.3Event APEX 166.94Rank 2Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 308.9 ±15.1

2290FLYT

Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 14.95Rank 15Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2358Bearbotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 87.81Rank 9Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5934Crowbotics

Season APEX 112Event APEX 66.69Rank 13Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 82

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8122, 3061, 10435

/ 100 compat

Projected

360.1 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8122, 3061, 10435

Auto

63.5 18%

Teleop

194.9 54%

Endgame

100.0 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2290, 2358, 5934

/ 100 compat

Projected

169.5 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2290, 2358, 5934

Auto

22.0 13%

Teleop

105.2 62%

Endgame

41.2 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.23 · Blue 0.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score360.1pts

Blue projected score169.5pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample76alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 18%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 190.7
Score range: 121–408
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 471 vs event baseline 264.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

406.1Season APEX308.9

63.5Auto22

194.9Teleop105.2

100Endgame41.2

55Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	82	16
teleop	154	96
endgame	85	38
foul	0	0
total	321	150

Result

Final score

321 – 150

Prediction correct · off by 29.3 pts