Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

168.56 – 175.87

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

165 – 419

Prediction correct · off by 123.3 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 241.8 ±16.2

3067Robovikes

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 28.02Rank 21Record 0-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3488Eagle Army

Season APEX 63.3Event APEX 51.03Rank 20Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79

5934Crowbotics

Season APEX 112Event APEX 89.51Rank 13Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 82

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 457.4 ±12.2

4213MetalCow Robotics

Season APEX 98.6Event APEX -5.21Rank 19Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8096Cache Money

Season APEX 110.9Event APEX 7.47Rank 6Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4655Stateline Robotics

Season APEX 247.9Event APEX 173.61Rank 3Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3067, 3488, 5934

/ 100 compat

Projected

168.6 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3067, 3488, 5934

Auto

42.1 25%

Teleop

99.1 59%

Endgame

25.6 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4213, 8096, 4655

/ 100 compat

Projected

175.9 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4213, 8096, 4655

Auto

51.3 29%

Teleop

100.8 58%

Endgame

21.9 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.34 · Blue 1.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score168.6pts

Blue projected score175.9pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample76alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 21%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -7.3
Score range: 122–223
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 584 vs event baseline 261.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

241.8Season APEX457.4

42.1Auto51.3

99.1Teleop100.8

25.6Endgame21.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	53
teleop	111	249
endgame	37	102
foul	0	15
total	165	419

Result

Final score

165 – 419

Prediction correct · off by 123.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree