Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

35.25 – 226.51

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

86 – 185

Prediction correct · off by 46.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 322.8 ±12.1

2704Roaring Robotics

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 31.43Rank 16Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8880Terra Cyborg

Season APEX 97.1Event APEX 0.78Rank 18Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8122Mechanical Mustaches

Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 3.04Rank 22Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 321.5 ±13.9

10435IRS - Intelligent Robotic Systems

Season APEX 139.3Event APEX 159.06Rank 2Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4213MetalCow Robotics

Season APEX 98.6Event APEX 3.77Rank 19Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5822WolfByte

Season APEX 83.6Event APEX 63.68Rank 11Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2704, 8880, 8122

/ 100 compat

Projected

35.3 pts

~0.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2704, 8880, 8122

Auto

16.3 50%

Teleop

15.5 47%

Endgame

1.0 3%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10435, 4213, 5822

/ 100 compat

Projected

226.5 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10435, 4213, 5822

Auto

29.3 13%

Teleop

132.9 59%

Endgame

61.4 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.47 · Blue 2.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score35.3pts

Blue projected score226.5pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample76alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 18%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 22%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -191.3
Score range: -15–277
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 271 vs event baseline 276.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

322.8Season APEX321.5

16.3Auto29.3

15.5Teleop132.9

1Endgame61.4

55Consistency52

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	38
teleop	49	131
endgame	8	11
foul	0	5
total	86	185

Result

Final score

86 – 185

Prediction correct · off by 46.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree