Qualification · Qualification 5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

309.21 – 241.69

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

318 – 293

Prediction correct · off by 30.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 405.5 ±14.7

5934Crowbotics

Season APEX 112Event APEX 67.2Rank 13Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 82

1781Lindblom Electric Eagles

Season APEX 88.3Event APEX 67.01Rank 12Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 92

3061Huskie Robotics

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 175Rank 4Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 283 ±13.9

3067Robovikes

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 21.64Rank 21Record 0-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11173STAR FORCE

Season APEX 126.3Event APEX 81.06Rank 14Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91

112Plus One

Season APEX 90.2Event APEX 138.99Rank 8Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5934, 1781, 3061

/ 100 compat

Projected

309.2 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5934, 1781, 3061

Auto

75.1 25%

Teleop

146.7 48%

Endgame

84.5 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3067, 11173, 112

/ 100 compat

Projected

241.7 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3067, 11173, 112

Auto

33.6 14%

Teleop

133.6 55%

Endgame

76.4 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2 · Blue 1.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score309.2pts

Blue projected score241.7pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample76alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 67.5
Score range: 192–359
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 611 vs event baseline 276.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

405.5Season APEX283

75.1Auto33.6

146.7Teleop133.6

84.5Endgame76.4

86Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	92	34
teleop	134	174
endgame	87	85
foul	5	0
total	318	293

Result

Final score

318 – 293

Prediction correct · off by 30.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree