Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

150.92 – 468.59

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

164 – 556

Prediction correct · off by 50.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 326.5 ±15.1

7848WI-FIghterz

Season APEX 115.9Event APEX 79.95Rank 10Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5934Crowbotics

Season APEX 112Event APEX 67.2Rank 13Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 82

4213MetalCow Robotics

Season APEX 98.6Event APEX 3.77Rank 19Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 618.6 ±12.4

11173STAR FORCE

Season APEX 126.3Event APEX 81.06Rank 14Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91

111WildStang

Season APEX 241Event APEX 181.64Rank 7Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2338Gear It Forward

Season APEX 251.3Event APEX 205.89Rank 5Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7848, 5934, 4213

/ 100 compat

Projected

150.9 pts

~0.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7848, 5934, 4213

Auto

21.6 15%

Teleop

94.1 63%

Endgame

32.8 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11173, 111, 2338

/ 100 compat

Projected

468.6 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11173, 111, 2338

Auto

96.4 21%

Teleop

256.9 55%

Endgame

113.5 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.51 · Blue 2.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score150.9pts

Blue projected score468.6pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample76alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 27%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -317.7
Score range: 101–519
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 720 vs event baseline 276.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

326.5Season APEX618.6

21.6Auto96.4

94.1Teleop256.9

32.8Endgame113.5

80Consistency60

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	113
teleop	87	291
endgame	32	152
foul	5	0
total	164	556

Result

Final score

164 – 556

Prediction correct · off by 50.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree