Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

79.16 – 365.45

3%97%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

62 – 388

Prediction correct · off by 19.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 244 ±14.6

5822WolfByte

Season APEX 83.6Event APEX 83.09Rank 11Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 95

3488Eagle Army

Season APEX 63.3Event APEX -5.73Rank 20Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79

8880Terra Cyborg

Season APEX 97.1Event APEX 1.8Rank 18Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 514.7 ±14.7

5934Crowbotics

Season APEX 112Event APEX 70.63Rank 13Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 82

11173STAR FORCE

Season APEX 126.3Event APEX 88.22Rank 14Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91

4096Ctrl-Z

Season APEX 276.4Event APEX 206.6Rank 1Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5822, 3488, 8880

/ 100 compat

Projected

79.2 pts

~0.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5822, 3488, 8880

Auto

21.4 26%

Teleop

57.6 70%

Endgame

2.8 3%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5934, 11173, 4096

/ 100 compat

Projected

365.5 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5934, 11173, 4096

Auto

73.7 20%

Teleop

189.9 52%

Endgame

102.1 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.5 · Blue 2.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score79.2pts

Blue projected score365.5pts

Red win probability3%

Event bonus sample76alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 24%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -286.3
Score range: 27–417
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 450 vs event baseline 286.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

244Season APEX514.7

21.4Auto73.7

57.6Teleop189.9

2.8Endgame102.1

58Consistency53

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	109
teleop	15	208
endgame	22	71
foul	5	0
total	62	388

Result

Final score

62 – 388

Prediction correct · off by 19.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree