Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

493.26 – 258.17

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

541 – 334

Prediction correct · off by 61.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 552.1 ±11.7

2358Bearbotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 99.39Rank 9Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4655Stateline Robotics

Season APEX 247.9Event APEX 222.6Rank 3Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3061Huskie Robotics

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 171.27Rank 4Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 419.3 ±13.3

10435IRS - Intelligent Robotic Systems

Season APEX 139.3Event APEX 146.55Rank 2Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7848WI-FIghterz

Season APEX 115.9Event APEX 74.33Rank 10Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2704Roaring Robotics

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 37.29Rank 16Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2358, 4655, 3061

/ 100 compat

Projected

493.3 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2358, 4655, 3061

Auto

95.8 19%

Teleop

273.9 56%

Endgame

123.6 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 23%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10435, 7848, 2704

/ 100 compat

Projected

258.2 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10435, 7848, 2704

Auto

46.2 18%

Teleop

177.7 68%

Endgame

37.5 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 23%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.53 · Blue 0.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score493.3pts

Blue projected score258.2pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample76alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 23%, blue 17%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 235.1
Score range: 208–543
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 875 vs event baseline 278.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

552.1Season APEX419.3

95.8Auto46.2

273.9Teleop177.7

123.6Endgame37.5

70Consistency41

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	91	24
teleop	321	202
endgame	129	108
foul	0	0
total	541	334

Result

Final score

541 – 334

Prediction correct · off by 61.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree