Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

415.39 – 310.79

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

427 – 376

Prediction correct · off by 38.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 607.4 ±11.7

4096Ctrl-Z

Season APEX 276.4Event APEX 214Rank 1Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

111WildStang

Season APEX 241Event APEX 197.73Rank 7Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4787Axiom

Season APEX 90Event APEX 3.66Rank 17Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 402.7 ±13.5

4655Stateline Robotics

Season APEX 247.9Event APEX 213.84Rank 3Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3067Robovikes

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 36.26Rank 21Record 0-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1781Lindblom Electric Eagles

Season APEX 88.3Event APEX 60.69Rank 12Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 92

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4096, 111, 4787

/ 100 compat

Projected

415.4 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4096, 111, 4787

Auto

81.9 20%

Teleop

217.9 53%

Endgame

115.2 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4655, 3067, 1781

/ 100 compat

Projected

310.8 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4655, 3067, 1781

Auto

67.5 22%

Teleop

161.3 53%

Endgame

76.7 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.22 · Blue 0.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score415.4pts

Blue projected score310.8pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample76alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 24%, blue 17%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 104.6
Score range: 261–465
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 803 vs event baseline 275.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

607.4Season APEX402.7

81.9Auto67.5

217.9Teleop161.3

115.2Endgame76.7

71Consistency110

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	111	68
teleop	248	216
endgame	68	92
foul	0	0
total	427	376

Result

Final score

427 – 376

Prediction correct · off by 38.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree