Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

287.84 – 189.61

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

214 – 44

Prediction correct · off by 109.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 366.3 ±14.1

112Plus One

Season APEX 90.2Event APEX 160.67Rank 8Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2704Roaring Robotics

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 33.31Rank 16Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5934Crowbotics

Season APEX 112Event APEX 93.86Rank 13Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 82

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 321.3 ±13.9

8880Terra Cyborg

Season APEX 97.1Event APEX 31.63Rank 18Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2290FLYT

Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 59.36Rank 15Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11173STAR FORCE

Season APEX 126.3Event APEX 98.62Rank 14Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 112, 2704, 5934

/ 100 compat

Projected

287.8 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 112, 2704, 5934

Auto

47.5 17%

Teleop

171.4 60%

Endgame

68.9 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8880, 2290, 11173

/ 100 compat

Projected

189.6 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8880, 2290, 11173

Auto

24.6 13%

Teleop

98.5 52%

Endgame

67.1 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.07 · Blue 0.96

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score287.8pts

Blue projected score189.6pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample76alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 16%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 98.2
Score range: 139–339
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 258 vs event baseline 284.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

366.3Season APEX321.3

47.5Auto24.6

171.4Teleop98.5

68.9Endgame67.1

34Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	11
teleop	148	14
endgame	29	19
foul	0	0
total	214	44

Result

Final score

214 – 44

Prediction correct · off by 109.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree