Qualification · Qualification 17

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

375.73 – 158.59

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

382 – 225

Prediction correct · off by 36.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 445.8 ±12.2

2338Gear It Forward

Season APEX 251.3Event APEX 221.88Rank 5Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8096Cache Money

Season APEX 110.9Event APEX 77.4Rank 6Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5822WolfByte

Season APEX 83.6Event APEX 76.45Rank 11Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 361.7 ±12.8

3061Huskie Robotics

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 154.91Rank 4Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4787Axiom

Season APEX 90Event APEX -11.62Rank 17Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3067Robovikes

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 15.3Rank 21Record 0-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2338, 8096, 5822

/ 100 compat

Projected

375.7 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2338, 8096, 5822

Auto

33.4 9%

Teleop

237.2 64%

Endgame

100.4 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 26%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3061, 4787, 3067

/ 100 compat

Projected

158.6 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3061, 4787, 3067

Auto

40.9 26%

Teleop

78.3 50%

Endgame

36.9 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 26%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.57 · Blue 0.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score375.7pts

Blue projected score158.6pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample76alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 26%, blue 15%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 217.1
Score range: 108–427
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 607 vs event baseline 283.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

445.8Season APEX361.7

33.4Auto40.9

237.2Teleop78.3

100.4Endgame36.9

37Consistency149

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	56	47
teleop	224	104
endgame	87	74
foul	15	0
total	382	225

Result

Final score

382 – 225

Prediction correct · off by 36.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree