Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

358.81 – 362.26

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

377 – 607

Prediction correct · off by 131.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 436.6 ±14.1

5822WolfByte

Season APEX 83.6Event APEX 105.89Rank 11Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 95

5934Crowbotics

Season APEX 112Event APEX 79.69Rank 13Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 82

111WildStang

Season APEX 241Event APEX 173.23Rank 7Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 505.9 ±12.2

4096Ctrl-Z

Season APEX 276.4Event APEX 165.68Rank 1Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

112Plus One

Season APEX 90.2Event APEX 111.84Rank 8Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10435IRS - Intelligent Robotic Systems

Season APEX 139.3Event APEX 84.74Rank 2Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5822, 5934, 111

/ 100 compat

Projected

358.8 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5822, 5934, 111

Auto

83.8 23%

Teleop

206.8 58%

Endgame

68.1 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 26%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4096, 112, 10435

/ 100 compat

Projected

362.3 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4096, 112, 10435

Auto

54.7 15%

Teleop

211.6 59%

Endgame

94.3 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 26%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.65 · Blue 1.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score358.8pts

Blue projected score362.3pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample76alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 26%, blue 21%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -3.4
Score range: 309–412
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 984 vs event baseline 279.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

436.6Season APEX505.9

83.8Auto54.7

206.8Teleop211.6

68.1Endgame94.3

49Consistency134

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	53	102
teleop	226	343
endgame	98	162
foul	0	0
total	377	607

Result

Final score

377 – 607

Prediction correct · off by 131.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree