Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

209.18 – 246.54

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

204 – 306

Prediction correct · off by 32.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 369.1 ±12.2

8122Mechanical Mustaches

Season APEX 61.6Event APEX -1Rank 22Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3067Robovikes

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 32.64Rank 21Record 0-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

111WildStang

Season APEX 241Event APEX 177.54Rank 7Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 418.2 ±12.2

8880Terra Cyborg

Season APEX 97.1Event APEX 37.01Rank 18Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3061Huskie Robotics

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 152.01Rank 4Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7848WI-FIghterz

Season APEX 115.9Event APEX 57.52Rank 10Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8122, 3067, 111

/ 100 compat

Projected

209.2 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8122, 3067, 111

Auto

35.9 17%

Teleop

136.9 65%

Endgame

36.4 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8880, 3061, 7848

/ 100 compat

Projected

246.5 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8880, 3061, 7848

Auto

71.9 29%

Teleop

141.5 57%

Endgame

34.3 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.09 · Blue 1.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score209.2pts

Blue projected score246.5pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample76alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 19%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -37.4
Score range: 157–299
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 510 vs event baseline 287.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

369.1Season APEX418.2

35.9Auto71.9

136.9Teleop141.5

36.4Endgame34.3

126Consistency69

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	59	53
teleop	107	156
endgame	38	97
foul	0	0
total	204	306

Result

Final score

204 – 306

Prediction correct · off by 32.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree